Thomas Ciarrocchi

Operating Principal | NMLS: 22280

February 9th Market Update

Alright team, grab your favorite mug ☕️ and let’s look at the week ahead. We are moving out of the "Jobs Week" shadow and heading straight into a high-stakes week for the bond market. If last week was the appetizer, next week is the heavy-duty main course where we see if the "Inflation Beast" is truly behaving!

Here’s your economic playbook for February 9th – February 13th, 2026:

The 'Price is Right' Week! 💸📉

·       Monday, Feb 9th: Treasury Auctions & Pizza! 🍕📜

o   The Data: We start with 13-week and 26-week Bill auctions. The market will be watching the "yield" appetite of big investors.

o   The Fun: It’s National Pizza Day! 🍕 Whether you like thin crust or deep dish, today is the day to treat the office. It’s the perfect fuel for a Monday morning of cold-calling and file-clearing.

·       Tuesday, Feb 10th: RETAIL SALES! 🛍️✨

o   The Big Check: This is a major market mover. We find out if consumers are still spending like crazy or if the holiday hangover has finally set in. High retail sales usually mean a strong economy—which can keep rates a little "crusty." ⬆️

·       Wednesday, Feb 11th: THE MAIN EVENT—CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI)! 💲🚨

o   The Inflation Check: This is the heavyweight champion of the week. This report tells us if prices for everyday stuff are cooling off. A lower-than-expected CPI is the absolute "Golden Ticket" for lower mortgage rates! ⬇️

o   The Fun: It’s National Make a Friend Day! 🤝 Perfect timing to reach out to a new Realtor partner and share the CPI news (especially if it's good!).

·       Thursday, Feb 12th: PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI)! 🏭💲

o   The Wholesale Peek: We see what the manufacturers are paying. If their costs are dropping, it's a great sign that consumer prices will stay low in the future.

·       Friday, Feb 13th: Friday the 13th & Olympic Spirit! 👻⛸️

o   The Vibe: It might be Friday the 13th, but don't let the "spookiness" get to you! We'll be seeing some consumer credit data and the final wrap-up of the week's bond auctions.

o   The Fun: The 2026 Winter Olympics are in full swing! 🥇 Channel that gold-medal focus to get your last few files across the finish line before the weekend.


What This Means for Your Mortgage Mission:

It’s all about the CPI on Wednesday morning. 🥊

·       The Bull Case: If CPI comes in "cool," bond yields will likely drop, and we could see a beautiful window for your borrowers to lock in. 📉

·       The Bear Case: If CPI stays sticky, the market will expect the Fed to keep rates higher for longer. ↔️


A Fun Fact for the Week: Pizza Power!

Did you know that Americans eat approximately 350 slices of pizza every second? 🍕 That’s about 100 acres of pizza per day! Just like a pizza, a good mortgage deal is all about the layers—a solid base of data, the "cheese" (expertise), and the right "toppings" (client service) to make it a masterpiece!

Let us help you!

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* Specific loan program availability and requirements may vary. Please get in touch with your mortgage advisor for more information.
Thomas Ciarrocchi picture
Thomas Ciarrocchi picture

Thomas Ciarrocchi

Operating Principal

Sigma Home Lending Powered by Paramount Media Inc | NMLS: 22280

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